Political prediction of the day

crystal ball

Predicting the future is very difficult. I’m doing this for fun, not because there’s any reward for being right or wrong, but just because I’m having this thought this morning, and it would be a lot of fun if I nailed it (OK, not fun, because it’s not a rosy prediction). Here it is:

The democrats will regain control of the House after the fall 2018 election, but the Senate will stay in the hands of the Republicans. Democrats will regain control of the Senate and the democrat will win the White House in 2020. Although full control of the House, Senate, and White House sounds like a rosy prediction from a democrat, wait for the whole thing…


Sometime in the second half of 2020 or the first half of 2021, the historically long economic expansion will end. Republicans and FoxNews will be incredibly skilled in placing blame for the downturn on the regained control by democrats. Both the House and Senate will go to republicans in 2022, and the president will be removed from office for something unrelated to the economic downturn. The tainted VP will decline to run in 2024, and a republican will win that election. All of that will perfectly coincide with the end of the recession, and the GOP will claim victory, and stay in control for a long time after.
Based on my calculations, there’s an 86.25% chance that I’m completely wrong, and a 96.64% chance that I’m partially wrong (those are totally made up numbers, but if I’ve learned anything from the past few years, it’s that numbers don’t have to be based on anything anymore).
I’ll search for this and see where we are sometime in the future. Hi, future self!

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